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Official Debt
and Public Debt
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Congress has divided government
spending into two classes,
depending on whether it is accounted for on-budget or off-budget. Most
spending, including interest on the
debt, is on-budget. Spending on programs
with dedicated taxes is considered off-budget, the largest being Social
Security. The term unified budget refers to the
combined on-budget and off-budget items. The
unqualified terms budget
deficit or budget
surplus refer to the
unified budget.
Accounting Systems
for Federal Debt
The budget deficit is the difference
between total
government spending and total tax revenues in a given time period,
usually one
year. The difference is covered by the
sale of Treasury securities to the public, i.e. bills, notes, and bonds. The cumulative total of Treasury securities
held by the public is the public
debt. This is the debt on which
real interest payments
must be made. The public debt may
therefore be regarded as
the real
debt.
The official debt is
the public debt plus what the
Treasury owes to government trust funds like the Social Security Trust
Fund. That trust fund has been growing
because the inflow from FICA taxes plus the interest credited on the
trust fund
bonds exceeds the outflow for Social Security benefit
payments.
How Off-Budget
Programs Affect the Debt
Any spending by the government not
covered by tax revenues
is financed out of the receipts from debt securities sold by the
Treasury to
the public. That means the increase in
public debt is the net deficit from both on-budget and off-budget
spending. However the official debt is
not affected by off-budget spending if there is a positive balance in
the
relevant off-budget account. The
official debt rises or falls only on the on-budget imbalance. To understand why this is so, consider the
following:
Assume an on-budget balance and
determine the effect of an
off-budget surplus. That surplus will
increase the intra-government debt in the form of special purpose bonds
which
the Treasury issues to the appropriate trust funds.
Since the Treasury has no other use for those
funds, it will spend them to redeem some of the public debt. Thus the increase in intra-government debt
will be balanced by an equal decrease in the public debt, leaving the
official
debt unchanged.
Conversely, an
off-budget deficit will draw down intra-government debt.
With no other source of funds, the Treasury
must borrow from the public to cover the off-budget payments. Thus the increase in public debt will be
balanced by an equal decrease in intra-government debt, again leaving
the
official debt unchanged.
We have assumed here that all trust
funds have positive
balances. However when a trust fund is
depleted, any further payments on that program can no longer be covered
by
drawing on that fund. In that case an
off-budget deficit will cause an increasing official debt as the
Treasury
borrows from the public to cover the payments.
The Brief Period of
Budget Surplus
For many years prior to 1997, the
deficit in the on-budget
programs was far larger than the surplus in the off-budget programs. That meant the unified budget was at times in
substantial deficit, which was covered by the sale of Treasury
securities to
the public.
As the economy improved in the late
1990s, the on-budget
programs moved into near budget balance. With
the continuing surplus in the off-budget
programs, the unified
budget moved briefly into surplus. That
allowed the Treasury to retire some of the outstanding debt. That ended when the recession of 2001
drove the on-budget programs into large enough deficit to exceed the
off-budget
surplus. Since then the budget deficit has
grown at an unprecedented rate.
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