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Money as Credit
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Money does not
exist in a pure barter system.
Trades are negotiated
by the participants as a fair exchange of goods and services. If
someone
agrees to receive equivalent value later in exchange for his goods, he
has
accepted an IOU.
An IOU is a credit
for the seller and a debt for the buyer. If the IOU becomes
negotiable,
meaning others will accept it in exchange for goods and services, the
IOU is
money. In essence, money is
credit that is widely accepted as a medium of
exchange.
The Basic Properties of Money
An IOU will be
accepted in exchange for
goods and services only if it is seen as a store of value.
However it
does not have to store value indefinitely to qualify as money. It
is
money if it retains value long enough to be generally accepted as a
medium of
exchange. Money is always a store of value, but a store of value
is not
always money. For example, a bond is a store of value, but bonds
are
seldom accepted as a medium of exchange, and therefore are not money.
Most of the
money we use is denominated in
the unit of account established by the government. That enables
us to
measure the value of a good or service against another, based on what
each
sells for in the market. How many quarts of milk are equivalent
in value
to a barber shop haircut can only be determined in the market place.
IOUs as Money
A bank loan
creates a negotiable IOU (credit money) for the borrower and a
liability for the bank. The borrower incurs a matching debt (the
obligation to repay the
loan) and the bank gains an interest-earning asset (the loan contract).
The term money
is sometimes used in reference to high quality debt
instruments
nearing maturity. However such near-money
is seldom acceptable as a medium
of exchange. Besides being inconvenient to the seller, the
monetary value
of near-money is not really known until sold in the marketplace.
The more
restrictive definition of money will be adopted here.
Fed Funds and Bank Money
When the Fed
purchases a financial asset
from the public, it credits the seller's bank with a deposit at the
Fed, known
as Fed
funds. Banks can exchange Fed funds for
Federal
Reserve notes, and vice versa, on
demand. In
either form, these Fed IOUs are the most negotiable in the
economy. This
is because the private sector must surrender Fed funds in paying
Federal
taxes. Conversely the government pays in Fed funds when it
spends.
Individuals
usually pay taxes
with bank money, i.e. a check against a bank deposit. However the
bank
must cover the check with its own Fed funds. It cannot issue an
IOU to
cover the check. The Fed accepts bank money at par with its own
IOUs. Thus bank deposits are nearly as negotiable in the private
sector
as Fed funds. Private party IOUs may be legally binding, but they
are of
uncertain monetary value and seldom negotiable. They are simply
private
debt rather than money.
Non-Bank Money
Money
market mutual funds offer
accounts similar to checking accounts at banks. They are actually
shares
in the ownership of short-term debt. When one pays with a draft
on a
money market fund, he is in fact selling shares in exchange for bank
money that
the fund must deliver. That means the fund must have sufficient
bank
money on hand, or acquire it through borrowing or sale of its own
assets.
Although
money market mutual
funds are not insured or guaranteed to trade at par with Fed money,
their
acceptance is now so widespread that they have become de
facto money. Thus non-bank financial institutions
(NBFIs) can create money by selling an
interest in short-term paper, and providing checking facilities against
that
paper.
Banks as Intermediaries
Like other
intermediaries, banks borrow to
lend at a profit. However banks are a special kind of
intermediary
because of their role as depositories. When a bank lends, it
creates a
new deposit to fund the loan and thus expands the money supply.
It may
issue loans only up to a prescribed multiple of its capital, and it
must hold reserves
of base money sufficient to cover
net daily withdrawals of its depositors.
Reserves refer
to a bank's vault cash and
its Fed funds. Under present rules, a bank must hold 10% in
reserves against
its demand deposits, averaged over successive two-week periods.
Averaging
allows a bank to run below its required reserves on any given
day.
Interbank lending serves to redistribute reserves lost to other banks
due to
ordinary checking activities.
A bank can
acquire Fed funds by borrowing in
the money market, but it cannot increase its capital (assets minus
liabilities)
through borrowing. Banks with sufficient capital sometimes create
new
deposits without adequate reserves, and count on borrowing to meet the
reserve
requirement. That may leave the banking system short of reserves,
and
thus apply upward pressure on the interest rate in the Fed funds
market.
In order to defend its target interest rate, the Fed will supply the
required reserves
on its own initiative. Thus a net increase in credit issued by
the
banking system normally brings forth new base money.
Non-Banks as Intermediaries
Banks
were once the main source
of credit. Today NBFIs such as mutual funds, pension funds,
finance
companies, and insurance companies issue far more credit in total than
do
banks. Indeed, deposits created by banks now comprise less than
20% of
the total credit market debt.
NBFIs are
ordinary intermediaries that lend
by transferring their own bank money to the borrowers. For
example, NBFI B
borrows $1 million from investor A at X%, and lends $1 million
to
entrepreneur C at Y%. In effect, $1 million in A’s
bank
account is transferred to C’s bank account. No new money
is
created, but the total credit market debt increases by $2
million. B
expects to earn (Y-X)% on $1 million. C expects to profit
from its
loan, pay regular interest, and pay off its debt to B when it
comes
due. B will then have funds to pay off its debt to A.
What
matters in this scenario is
cash flow. Intermediaries typically borrow short to lend long,
taking
advantage of the normally upward sloping term structure of the yield curve (yield versus maturity).
Such an intermediary must be able to roll over short-term debt on a
continuing
basis at favorable interest rates. If its credit standing is
suspect, it
may not be able it to borrow at all.
Cash
flow also depends on
factors over which the intermediary has no control. Suppose the
Fed
raised short-term rates sharply. Not only might B be in
trouble
due to the higher cost of rolling over its short-term debt, but C
might
also find its income reduced. If C were unable to service
its
debt, B might also fail, in which case A could lose a
good part
of its investment.
Systemic Risks
The
Fed has virtually no control
over the total amount of credit market debt. However the real
danger to
the financial system is not in how much credit is created. It is
in the
cascading of debt relations in which a single default can result in a
system-wide
reaction.
NBFIs
are important players in a modern entrepreneurial economy, but they are
not
regulated as to their capital ratios or the type of assets they may
hold.
There is a constant danger of an over-leveraged NBFI having to default
on a
large debt. While the Fed or other financial institutions would
likely
come to the rescue, it is by no means certain that widespread havoc
could be
avoided under the rules that now exist.
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