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Bond
Values and
Interest Rates
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Many people are confused about the relation between
interest rates
and the market value of bonds. For the long-term investor who can
hold his bonds to maturity, that doesn’t matter very much. But if
he may have to sell before maturity, it is important that he understand
how the market value of his bond is affected by changes in interest
rates.
Buying a Bond
Suppose you bought a newly-issued 10-year bond at par
for $1,000
that pays interest
at 6%. You would receive $60 per year in two payments of $30
each.
The interest payment is known as the coupon,
a holdover from the days when paper bonds were issued with coupons
attached.
The bearer would clip off a coupon as it came due and present it to the
borrower to claim the interest payment. When the bond matured,
the principal part would be
returned to
claim the par value of the bond, thereby ending the borrower’s
liability.
The coupon rate on a new-issue bond is governed by the yield
on bonds of the same maturity in the secondary market at the
time.
Why? Because the borrower must offer a coupon rate that is at
least
equal to the yield on existing bonds, otherwise there would be no
takers.
Yield on the Bond
The term "yield" is shorthand for the yield-to-maturity
which takes into account any difference between what is paid for the
bond
and its value at maturity. The
yield
on a new bond bought at par is normally the same as the coupon
rate. Thereafter, as the general level of interest
rates
changes, the value of the bond in the secondary market will
move
in the opposite direction.
What matters to the buyer is the yield, which is a
reflection of the
prevailing interest rate. The coupon rate is set when the bond is
issued. If the general interest rate then falls below the coupon
rate, the bond will command a premium because its yield at par would be
higher than the prevailing interest rate. The converse also
applies.
Effect of a Change in Market
Interest Rates
Suppose after two years, the interest rate on bonds of
8-year maturity is 5%. Since that is less than the 6% coupon rate
on your bond which now has 8-years to maturity, its market value
would be higher than the $1,000 price you paid. In fact it would
be $1,065.
If you sold the bond at that price, you would
realize a capital
gain of $65. The return on your investment would therefore be
greater than the 6%
you expected when you bought the bond. But if you then reinvested
the
proceeds in another bond of 8-year maturity, the yield would be only
about 5%, the going rate on bonds at the time.
The buyer of your bond would receive the coupon payments
of $60 per
year. If
he held the bond to maturity, he would receive the face value, $1,000,
as promised by the borrower. That means he would have taken a
capital
loss of $65, the equivalent of about one year of coupon payments.
However
he would have enjoyed a coupon rate that is higher than the yield on
existing
bonds of that maturity. The net effect is that his total return
would be about 5%, the going rate on bonds at the time.
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